AmyBSells Team - Cincinnati Real Estate Blog

Amy March 25th, 2008

This morning, I was up with the birds, hoping that spring will find its way too cold and confused Cincinnati Weather. We need spring here to make our lawns and trees green, so our Real Estate can look beautiful for our promising spring market.
I was reading Real Trends Newsletter online today and thought I would share the whole article with you, along with some points I thought you might find interesting. I also wanted to point out some points that I have been sharing with you all along, since the market became not so easy to work in. As you all know, I am a realist, and a very painfully honest Real Estate Advisor. I like to try to find the positive in every situation, and we still have some reasons to be positive in this market. Let me share with you some thoughts….
This March edition of Real Trends newsletter that is attached suggested that this year, for the first time ever, the number of Realtors and associated Real Estate Professionals (Lenders, Appraisers etc) have declined. Only the Strong Survive! This has proven true in the Cincinnati market as well, as membership in the Cincinnati Area Board of Realtors dropped when our annual fees were due in January.
Interesting as well that 50% of all listings in the country are held by the nation’s top firms, listed in the article. I believe this is a true testament to BRANDING the large companies, and the internet reach of so many large Real Estate Companies. As you may recall, Remax is an international Real Estate Name, in over 60 countries on Earth! Easy exposure for your home in any part of the world. In fact, recent data shows that Remax is only behind Realtor.com and Homegain.com with the largest internet market share in the US, Based on NAR statistics.

Real Estate Auctions have become more widely used in this current market. States that were hit hard with the market value decline like Florida and California, report the use of Auctions to sell real estate up 46% from 2003-2007. Interestingly enough, the foreclosure properties are not successful at auction sales, as they report that banks are not able to take low bids or the types of hits that auctions often result in)

FORECLOSURE UPDATE:

VERY IMPORTANT INFO ON page 5 of this newsletter if you want to invest in a foreclosure! This will be another article on my blog entirely. This section of the newsletter warns of the same issues that I have previously discussed in my articles on Foreclosure and the hidden costs and the slow banks response times. The bottom line on Foreclosures, they are not good if you are looking to buy your first home, to move your family in the home, if you are looking for a good experience with ease when you purchase, or if you need a loan to purchase, if you do not have cash on hand for unforeseen emergencies. Foreclosures are still best for those that have SUPER PATIENCE, do not need to buy, and have cash, mostly investors.

Real Trends compiled a chart of all the major data sources in US Real Estate, which all 8 sources showed a decline in year over year change in the national price index, ranging from -0.3 to -10.9%.
In the markets in the US that are selling homes, they found that those selling are priced BELOW $250,000, and are “cleaned up.” Contributing to my 2008 motto: We are in a PRICE WAR and a BEAUTY CONTEST with home sales in Cincinnati.

Further, in all of the major markets, only 4% of the inventory is on the market for less than 4 months. 95% of inventory is on the market for 4-12+ months, and over half of those 95% are on the market 9-12+ months. The silver lining and positive spin on this data, is that in Cincinnati, we experience the same issues, but certain areas of the city are on the market far less than 9-12+ months! Areas like Hyde Park, Mt. Lookout and Oakley have a high demand, a good portion of housing at or below $250,000 and are experiencing about a 95-97% list to sale ratio in today’s market. In my own business, my average days on market are between 45-25 depending on the part of town, and my overall list to sale is 97%. I know that my experience and success pricing homes for the current market has directly contributed to my rapid sales and high ratios. I contribute this to experience, realistic sellers, and .
I have to agree with a statement that Forbes magazine wrote recently, that was quoted in this Real Trends Newsletter, and I will increase the size and change the font for good measure,
Greed and Impatience are the top 2 factors contributing to our current market conditions today.
Another interesting set of data regarding negative equity in homes in the US. The longer you own your home (5 years being ideal, the longer the better in this market) the more equity you have. The data was collected from 72 million owner occupied homes, suggests that
30% of homes purchased in the last 12 months have negative equity
39% of homes purchased in the last 24 months have negative equity
LESS THAN 2% of homes purchased in the last 5 years have negative equity.

What does this mean to the homeowner? Stay in that house as long as you can, especially if you have a 100% or an FHA loan with little or no down payment. You will need every bit of equity you can get! I hope that my clients recognize that I want to help them sell their homes for a gain, not a loss. The longer you own your home, the more gain we can find you, the shorter, the more likely it is that you will need to make up for the loss at the closing table. The AmyBSells Team can sell a home in any market, we prefer to help you make money, and curb any losses. In the end, we price the house for the market, not the equity position.

THE POSITIVE

The report suggests that there will be more new households created in the next 10 years, than there were in the last 10 years.
Congress has done some good things for the housing market: They increased FHA loan limits, which have helped a number of my clients, they have passed laws to deter some foreclosure increases, which helps area property values not decline, and they are creating a number of Real Estate associated Tax Credits, which encourage buyers to purchase real estate.

CONCLUSION

As a Certified Residential Specialist, selling more than 32 homes a year in a down market, REAL ESTATE IS SELLING. I tell my sellers, if you have to sell, we will get it SOLD for you, but now is not the time to have unrealistic expectations. I did not cause the market conditions, and I cannot cure it, but we must make the best of the situation. There are proven ways that my team has found to position your home for a solid SALE in a realistic time frame. Call us to help you position your home for a successful sale! We have proven results in this challenging market!

• Buyers , Financing , Foreclosures , Housing Market , Lending , Pricing , Value
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Amy February 5th, 2008

Last year, I talked about how foreclosures seem like a great idea on the surface, but most often, don’t pan out for serious buyers.  This has become so frustrating for buyers purchasing foreclosure that the Ohio State Law has changed, requiring Realtors to completely explain all of the red tape involved with a foreclosure purchase.  This article highlights some of the recent changes.

• Buyers , Foreclosures
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Amy January 14th, 2008

Update on Mortgages in Ohio Real Estate

The Ohio Mortgage Bankers Association (OMBA) released some very interesting data regarding their Q3 2007 figures that I felt compelled to share with my readers in Cincinnati, Ohio. As a resident, Realtor and Certified Residential Specialist, I feel that it is increasingly the local Realtors job to educate their local public on the state of the Real Estate market. I always suggest that the more local the data and information the better. You can’t form opinions regarding the Real Estate market from national news, based on California, Nevada or New York; you must look at what is happening in your state, city and suburb. This is my reason for writing a series of articles regarding the local real estate market. The more informed you are locally, the better the market will be for us locally.

Let’s start with Ohio, the state level and the recent figures released from the states Mortgage Bankers Association (OMBA). As you may have heard in the past, Ohio was a state of high foreclosure rates. When you break the state down by top 10 counties that these foreclosures are occurring in, Hamilton County, nor any other areas of Greater Cincinnati are amongst the top 10 that are the state’s worst counties for foreclosures. This is great to know if you live in or around Cincinnati, or its suburbs. And it lends to the mentality that the more local your information and news is, the better!

In the state of Ohio, The home ownership rate remains near record levels at 68.2% reports OMBA. This high rate of homeownership is almost record breaking, does not tell me that we are in despair in our Real Estate market. I wish these numbers were a part of the newspaper and evening news statistics!

The OMBA further suggests that 35% of Ohio homeowners own their homes outright, no mortgages at all! 48% are in a fixed rate mortgage, which is the conservative route, and almost half of Ohio residents are being conservative about their home financing, providing a stronger outlook for the future of the Ohio market! 15% of Ohioans have an Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM). And the smallest single group of people in Ohio, just 5% of homeowners is a non-prime or sub-prime borrower with adjustable rate mortgages. This is only 5% of Ohioans that have this higher rate loan that adjusts. The squeaky wheel gets the grease is TRUE! Why don’t we hear about the 35% who own their homes or the 48% who have the most conservative loans on the market? Instead, the newspaper and news casts prefer to report the doom and gloom when merely 5% of Ohioans that agreed to take a mortgage above prime rates and that adjusts gets into trouble. The media goes by the saying, “If it bleeds, it leads!” and that is causing so much of the bad press surrounding this Cincinnati Real Estate Market, which is simply not true!

In fact, in Ohio, the foreclosure rate is 1.7% of all loans in Ohio. The market tells us that a little over a half of that 1.7% will actually be foreclosed upon, but there are no exact numbers. The OMBA suggests that the number one cause for delinquencies and foreclosures is historically job related, most specifically so in the Mid-West, which has lost a significant number of manufacturing jobs. It is a fact that lenders want to lend money to borrowers who are willing and able to pay the loan back. They are not trying to induce a foreclosure situation! In fact, the OMBA estimates that between $30,000-$60,000 net loss occurs each time there is a foreclosure on a single property.

The lending community is taking note of these figures and situations that arise from these foreclosure situations. The competition in the lending marketplace has increased, leading the way for borrowers to find more options for their financing from the stronger, remaining lending institutions. The lenders are now pushing borrowers towards the more traditional mortgages, with down payments, fixed products and conventional loan options, which all help the borrower, the lender and the real estate market.

So, yes, Ohio has seen a small amount of foreclosures as state, Cincinnati and even smaller number of foreclosures. This concern over foreclosure figures has created more awareness in the lenders and loan options, which allows borrowers more education on their financing options. I hope that these numbers show you that in Cincinnati, we are going well, in Ohio, we are as well. Get your news locally, and there is always more good than bad, they just prefer to tell you the bad.

Hang in there and check back soon for some local articles on Hyde Park, Mount Lookout and other Cincinnati Suburb market conditions as they happened in 2007.
Data and statistics noted in this article are based onthe Ohio Mortgage Bankers Association’s Q3 2007 figures.

• Buyers , Financing , Foreclosures , Pricing , Trends
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Amy September 6th, 2007

Depending on the price range of buyer that I work, with, I almost always get the question during our hunting,  “What about Foreclosures?”

Usually in the price ranges below 200K, we see a large amount of bank owned properties in foreclosure or accepting a short sale (when the bank will take less for the property than what they have lent out on it). Foreclosures are perfect for certain people but I will stand behind the statement that they are not a good idea for first time buyers, or for people who intend to use the home for their primary residence. That being said, there are a small amount of buyers out there that do have success in this foreclosure market.

Ohio has lead the country in foreclosed properties for several years. This shows us that at one point, banks in this area were more liberal in lending monies to people who were getting 100% loans, who perhaps should not have purchased a home at the height of their price point, and thus, have failed to make payments on time, defaulting on their loans and the bank taking the house back from them. I have toured a foreclosed property after the people living there were evicted, and I can assure you they were not happy they were kicked out. So much so that you sometimes don’t want to enter due to stench or filth. Many times, they are in the process of trashing the house, to get back at the bank, and you don’t want to buy that house for your family.

Typically if the owners could not make their mortgage payments, they might not have also been taking care of the general maintenance of the house. Almost always, you find that the house has been neglected due to lack of money to care for it. Sometimes it is small things like lawn care, but sometimes, it is a leaky sink, that leaks for months, causing the cabinet to rot out, and leak into the drywall of the floor below, now having concern for mold problems, drywall needing to be replaced etc.

In a foreclosure, since the people weren’t paying their mortgage payments, there may have been other bills or repairs that have not paid either. When creditors are not paid by their customer, they can put a lien on the real estate they own. This lien will have to be paid before you the buyer can purchase the real estate. So, if you buy a foreclosure you may also be responsible to pay off several thousand dollars in liens for the previous owner, before you can title the property in your name. There are methods of negotiating with lien holders for a reduced payoff, but you will always pay more than half of their lien debt prior to closing on the home. Investors are used to this type of situation and they pay the liens with cash and move on with their purchase.

Inspections are KEY in homes like these, if you intend to put your family into them. Remember, if this is the largest purchase you will make, then you must do your due diligence and have an inspection, to protect your families interests. The problem with inspections is that in the process of negotiating with the bank, they will rarely give you the time you need to get an inspection to know what you are buying. Nor do they ever agree to repair or replace anything that was not maintained or broken by the previous owners. They take a completely hands off approach with regards to inspections and repairs. Most will just sell the property as is and not even look at the results of an inspection. This will take the wind out of your sails if you were hoping to have a smooth and pleasant home buying experience. A foreclosure property will often have several other buyers or “investors� interested in this same property, who have cash and will buy the house with no inspections.

These investors have the upper hand, as they have cash to purchase the property, which allows them to close on the house in a week’s time. If you are getting a loan, then that process is likely to take 30 days to complete. The banks will take less for the home, if they can sell to a cash buyer with no inspections. And they do, almost every time.

When we have a short sale situation, and you want to put in an offer on a house, you go through a long waiting period. The house goes on the market, you write an offer and submit it, (some times, the bank requires a larger than normal earnest money or down payment that most buyers in this price range do not have) and depending on the bank, it takes 14-45 days to get a response from the back as to if they will take your offer or not or if they will begin to make a counter offer. In the meantime, cash offers will come in and will go to the top of the stack of offers at the bank in those 14-45 days. If you severely under bid for the house, then someone can outbid you during these 14-45 days. All while this is going on, you are prohibited from writing an offer on another property while you have an offer in on this one. You will have no idea when you will get a response or what that response will be. So, you might have just wasted 45 days, and missed finding that house that is perfect for your family and you could have already moved in by now. This method of buying a home may save you some money, or it may end up costing you more money in unknown defects and their repairs and frustration in the end.

In some states in the US, you can get all the way through this process and actually close on the house, and the original owner can come up with their deficient monies and get the house back! That means you lose the property you have been working for months to obtain, just because the previous owners raised the money necessary to take back their home. When this happens, you loose considerable amounts of money, especially if you have already begun to renovate the home, now for the old owners!

Foreclosures are a great idea when you have about 100K in cash to invest in a piece of real estate. These types of investments are still risky if you don’t have an inspection, and know what you are buying. Foreclosures are great if you have time to repair and discover the inadequacies of the home, they are not generally move in condition. If you are a handy man or are very knowledgeable about the construction and or renovation process foreclosures are great. If you have investors along side you in the property, it reduces your risk, and most investors team up or have a few partners to reduce risk. Foreclosures carry a lot of risk, and if you can bite through the risk, there is sometimes a large reward, other times, it is a break even or when more problems than expected come up, they are upside down in the investment. To me, foreclosures are best for investors, not families. If you are still interested in purchasing a foreclosure property, I can recommend you to a Realtor that focuses his business in the foreclosure market.

If you want to be excited and have a great experience finding your dream home, I don’t recommend going the foreclosure route. I can promise you will have a wonderful experience buying a home the traditional route that 99% of people take when purchasing their primary residence with me! I hope I am your #1 choice to represent you as your Residential Realtor!

• Buyers , Foreclosures , Inspections
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